Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Moving Ahead
On to South Carolina for the Republicans and Nevada for the Democrats. Both races will be decided Saturday Feb. 20th with the polls at this point showing Clinton with the lead in Nevada and Trump with the lead in South Carolina. While it is early and things could change, I think Sanders will have a harder time in Nevada than he did in New Hampshire because of regional issues. He was known in New Hampshire and the Northeast but how well known in Nevada before this week I have no idea. His win in New Hampshire and loss by just a coin toss in Iowa give him a good momentum and something to build on for his constituency. He hasn’t had to run negative ads which goes in his favor, but let’s face it, he hasn’t had to. The media coverage of the emails and the reminders from the Republicans have done a good job of casting a shadow over Clinton and her trustworthiness if not her out right bad judgement. Let’s face it a private email server was not the brightest way to go when you’re head of the state department.
Trump on the other hand does not face issues of region. He is as well known, if not more so to America as any politician out there. He boldly says what he has to say and thus far, defends himself strongly. He is the anti-politician in this race. Cruz and Rubio are at this point second and third respectively in the polls there. Cruz is basically GOP establishment and therein lies what I think is his downfall if what is happening in NH is happening all over, anti-establishment sentimentality. Ted seems to me to be made of wood. He seems almost expressionless and emotionless so if he doesn’t warm up and distance himself from the political machine, he could be in trouble. Rubio is a rookie senator with a bad voting record that comes off as out of his element. Sound familiar? That’s what we have now as President and let’s face it it’s been a less than stellar seven years. I’m pretty sure that at least part of the insider disdain comes from the fact that how Washington works was not changed as promised.
After Feb. 20th the parties will flip flop with Democrats heading to South Carolina for a vote on the 27th and Republicans to Nevada with a vote on the 23rd
That’s where we stand now with ten days to go to the next results. I do want to mention that the NY Daily news called the New Hampshire voters "Mindless Zombies" for voting for Trump. While I am a fan of the Walking Dead I have two words for that rag mag they call a newspaper, but I will refrain from posting them here.
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